Natural Disasters - Forecasting Hurricane Occurrence,
Economic an Life Losses
Storm Data For Tampa Bay Region
106 years of storm data for Tampa Bay region,
Florida provides the basis for establishing scaling laws for wind speed
and time intervals between storms. The insight provided by a log-log plot
of data is shown (above) for maximum wind speed (on left) and for time
intervals between storms (on right). Traditionally, data are plotted on
a histogram plot (A and D). Structure in the data becomes apparent when
data are replotted on logarithmic scales where two populations become clear
(B) and scaling is revealed (E). Axes on the plot are converted to probability
in (C and F) which permits extrapolation to forecast the probability of
greater wind speeds and time intervals between storms. (Data from NOAA).
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U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey, Center for Coastal Geology
This page is: http://coastal.er.usgs.gov/hurricane_forecast/wind_speed.html
Address questions and comments about this page to: Trent Faust - Webmaster
Updated: 02 October, 2000 @ 10:58 AM
(MLM)
