In accordance with SO #3423 - The Gulf of America and SO #3424 - Mount McKinley and Landmarks Honoring the Alaskan People, new USGS data releases specific to those named places will utilize the new name Gulf of America and the restored name Mount McKinley. Per USGS practice, historical data will retain the name of the geographic features as they were known at the time the data were originally released.
Data Release
Storm-Induced Coastal Change Forecasts: Archive of Individual Storm Events
By Kara S. Doran, Justin J. Birchler, Heather A. Schreppel, Hilary F. Stockdon, and David M. Thompson
U.S. Geological Survey, St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center
Summary
These data sets contain information on the probabilities of storm-induced erosion (collision, inundation and overwash) on sandy beaches along the U.S. Gulf and Atlantic coasts during real-time peak forecast conditions. The analysis is based on a storm-impact scaling model that uses observations of beach morphology combined with sophisticated hydrodynamic models to predict how the coast will respond to storm events. Storm-induced water levels, due to both surge and waves, are compared to beach and dune elevations to determine the probabilities of three types of coastal change: collision (dune erosion), overwash, and inundation. Data on dune morphology (dune crest and toe elevation) and hydrodynamics (storm surge, wave setup and runup) are also included in this data set. The data presented here include the dune morphology observations, as derived from lidar surveys. For further information regarding data collection and/or processing methods refer to the associated publication (Stockdon and others, 2012).
For further information regarding data collection and/or processing methods refer to: Stockdon, H.F., Doran, K.J., Thompson, D.M., Sopkin, K.L., Plant, N.G., and Sallenger, A.H., 2012, National assessment of hurricane-induced coastal erosion hazards—Gulf of Mexico: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2012–1084, 51 p., https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20121084.
Note: This data release was versioned on November 17, 2025. Please see the Suggested Citation section for details.
Data
| File Name and Description | Metadata (XML format) | Metadata (text format) | Download File |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | |||
| Helene_2024.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Helene (.shp) |
Helene_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Helene_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Helene_2024.zip (149 KB) |
| Milton_2024.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Milton (.shp) |
Milton_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Milton_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Milton_2024.zip (123 KB) |
| 2023 | |||
| Idalia_2023.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Idalia (.shp) |
Idalia_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Idalia_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Idalia_2023.zip (121 KB) |
| Lee_2023.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Lee (.shp) |
Lee_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Lee_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Lee_2023.zip (138 KB) |
| 2022 | |||
| Ian_2022.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Ian (.shp) |
Ian_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Ian_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Ian_2022.zip (258 KB) |
| Nicole_2022.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Nicole (.shp) |
Nicole_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Nicole_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Nicole_2022.zip (243 KB) |
| 2021 | |||
| Ida_2021.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Ida (.shp) |
Ida_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Ida_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Ida_2021.zip (162 KB) |
| 2020 | |||
| Isaias_2020.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Isaias (.shp) |
Isaias_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Isaias_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Isaias_2020.zip (265 KB) |
| Laura_2020.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Laura (.shp) |
Laura_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Laura_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Laura_2020.zip (135 KB) |
| Marco_2020.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Marco (.shp) |
Marco_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Marco_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Marco_2020.zip (129 KB) |
| Sally_2020.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Sally (.shp) |
Sally_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Sally_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Sally_2020.zip (129 KB) |
| Delta_2020.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Delta (.shp) |
Delta_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Delta_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Delta_2020.zip (136 KB) |
| Zeta_2020.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Zeta (.shp) |
Zeta_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Zeta_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Zeta_2020.zip (123 KB) |
| 2019 | |||
| Dorian_2019.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Dorian (.shp) |
Dorian_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Dorian_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Dorian_2019.zip (115 KB) |
| 2018 | |||
| Alberto_2018.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Tropical Storm Alberto (.shp) |
Alberto_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Alberto_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Alberto_2018.zip (69 KB) |
| March_2018.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for the March 2018 Noreaster (.shp) |
March_2018_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | March_2018_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | March_2018.zip (146 KB) |
| Florence_2018.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Florence (.shp) |
Florence_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Florence_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Florence_2018.zip (136 KB) |
| Gordon_2018.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Tropical Storm Gordon (.shp) |
Gordon_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Gordon_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Gordon_2018.zip (61 KB) |
| Michael_2018.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Michael (.shp) |
Michael_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Michael_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Michael_2018.zip (60 KB) |
| 2017 | |||
| Harvey_2017.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Harvey (.shp) |
Harvey_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Harvey_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Harvey_2017.zip (71 KB) |
| Irma_2017.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Irma (.shp) |
Irma_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Irma_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Irma_2017.zip (122 KB) |
| Maria_2017.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Maria (.shp) |
Maria_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Maria_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Maria_2017.zip (75 KB) |
| Nate_2017.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Nate (.shp) |
Nate_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Nate_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Nate_2017.zip (50 KB) |
| 2016 | |||
| Colin_2016.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Tropical Storm Colin (.shp) |
Colin_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Colin_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Colin_2016.zip (49 KB) |
| Hermine_2016.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Tropical Storm Hermine (.shp) |
Hermine_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Hermine_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Hermine_2016.zip (62 KB) |
| January_2016.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for the January 2016 Noreaster (.shp) |
January_2016_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | January_2016_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | January_2016.zip (66 KB) |
| Matthew_2016.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Matthew (.shp) |
Matthew_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Matthew_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Matthew_2016.zip (122 KB) |
| 2015 | |||
| Bill_2015.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Tropical Storm Bill (.shp) |
Bill_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Bill_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Bill_2015.zip (63 KB) |
| Joaquin_2015.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Joaquin (.shp) |
Joaquin_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Joaquin_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Joaquin_2015.zip (120 KB) |
| 2012 | |||
| Sandy_2012.zip Probabilities of storm-induced erosion for Hurricane Sandy (.shp) |
Sandy_PCOI_line_metadata.xml | Sandy_PCOI_line_metadata.txt | Sandy_2012.zip (61 KB) |
Figure 1. Probabilities of collision (inner strip), overwash (middle strip), and inundation (outer strip).
Suggested Citation
Doran, K.S., Birchler, J.J., Schreppel, H.A., Stockdon, H.F., and Thompson, D.M., 2019, Storm-induced coastal change forecasts: archive of individual storm events (ver. 2.0., November 2025): U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://doi.org/10.5066/P9Z362BC.
First posted June 19, 2019
Revised November 17, 2025