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St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center

Coastal and Marine Geology Program > St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center > Storm Impacts and Vulnerability of Coastal Beaches > Research > Automate Coastal Change Probability Forecasts and Updates

Hurricane Sandy Response - Storm Impacts and Vulnerability of Coastal Beaches

Automate Coastal Change Probability Forecasts and Updates

USGS forecasts of coastal change from hurricanes provide critical information to identify areas vulnerable to extreme, and potentially catastrophic, erosion during landfall. Both real-time and scenario-based forecasts are produced. Scenario-based predictions have been published for the Gulf of Mexico, Southeast Atlantic, and mid-Atlantic coastlines for generalized Category 1-5 hurricane storm surge and wave conditions. As the USGS expands regional predictions into the Northeast Atlantic and Pacific coastlines, other storm scenarios must be explored including nor'easters, and winter storms. Tropical storms conditions will also be modeled for the Gulf of Mexico and Atlantic coasts to produce scenario-based forecasts of coastal change.

Significant updates to the real-time hurricane forecasts will also be made. The USGS codes will be improved to interface with the Coastal Change Hazards Portal (http://cida.usgs.gov/coastalchangehazardsportal/) to make tools and results broadly accessible in real-time as a storm is approaching the U.S coastline.

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Page Last Modified: December 05, 2016 @ 11:24 AM (JSG)