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St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center

Coastal and Marine Geology Program > St. Petersburg Coastal and Marine Science Center > Storm Impacts and Vulnerability of Coastal Beaches > Research > Improve Forecasts of Beach Change During sSorms

Hurricane Sandy Response - Storm Impacts and Vulnerability of Coastal Beaches

Improve Forecasts of Beach Change During Storms

In order to improve the predictive capability of the USGS forecasts of coastal change, understanding how the beach changes during a storm event is important. Current forecast methods assume fixed conditions, using the maximum wave height and surge and a static dune and beach system. Research topics will include:

The knowledge gained will be incorporated into the predictions to improve accuracy and work towards prediction of magnitudes of erosion.

To make major improvements in understanding of storm processes on beaches, we need to develop improved observations associated with extreme events and subsequent recovery. Current predictions cannot be sufficiently evaluated because data do not resolve events and are often years out of date. We will conduct field observations that take advantage of technology, including lidar and imaging systems (e.g. ARGUS, CLARIS, etc). When appropriate, in-situ instrumentation can be added to adequately resolve details of storm and recovery processes. Ultimately, the details of processes at work during storms will be reduced to a simple model that can be broadly applied to evaluate the Nation's vulnerability to coastal change during storms.

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